NFL
Thu, Sep 24, 8:15 PM ET8m agoBest Props →
Heavy Money
78%
The big money is on GB ML: 78% of dollars, 65% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| GB # $ | 65% | 78% | +13% | – |
| ATL # $ | 35% | 22% | -13% | – |
No signal: System Play, Sharp Signal.
EV
True Price vs the best price available anywhere. EV is your expected return on the bet.
Heavy Money
How much money is on a side versus how many bets are on it. The gap is the read.
Sharp Signal
Top-decile Polymarket wallets, scored vs closing price -- entries and exits both count. Public data, check it yourself.
System Play
The public is on one side, the money is on the other, and the line followed the money.
Trends
Favors ATLATSnamed game
Road non-divisional underdogs coming off a blowout loss against the spread
53-25 (68%)
34.6K views · 241 likes · 12 reposts
@Bet_Labs · Source ↗
| Venue | ATL spread | GB spread | Over | Under | ATL ML | GB ML |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KAKalshi | +5.5 +104 | -5.5 -104 | 43.5 -104 | 43.5 +104 | +245 | -245 |
| DRDraftKings | +6 -110 | -6 -110 | 44.5 -102 | 44.5 -118 | +225 | -278 |
| FAFanDuel | +6.5 -120 | -6.5 -102 | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -105 | +220 | -270 |
| BEBetMGM | +6 -110 | -6 -108 | 43.5 -112 | 43.5 -105 | +230 | -285 |
| CACaesars | +6 -110 | -6 -109 | 43.5 -120 | 43.5 +100 | +230 | -290 |
| FAFanatics | +6 -110 | -6 -110 | 43.5 -115 | 43.5 -105 | +220 | -275 |
| BEBetRivers | +6 -107 | -6 -114 | 43.5 -113 | 43.5 -108 | +230 | -286 |
Heavy Money
94%
The big money is on Under 43.5: 94% of dollars, 55% of bets.
| Side | # % | $ % | Diff | Line |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| under # $ | 55% | 94% | +39% | – |
| over # $ | 45% | 6% | -39% | – |
Trends
53-25
Road non-divisional underdogs coming off a blowout loss against the spread (53-25) favors ATL +5.5, via @Bet_Labs.
34.6K views · 241 likes · 12 reposts
Bet_Labs -- @Bet_Labs ↗1 more trend on this game, by popularity.
See all in Trends ↓EV
+9.8%
Over 43.5 at +127 is a +9.8% EV bet.
| Side | True Price | Best price | EV |
|---|---|---|---|
| Over 45.5 | +108 | +127 (Kalshi) | +9.8% |
| Under 44.5 | -104 | -107 (Caesars) | -1.0% |
Analysts
5 of 5
5 of 5 analysts on GB ML.
Nick Meyer
“Love might be banged up after his injury admission, but the Packers have enough talent to lift him to greater heights, and another win, in Week 3.”
GB ML 75¢Read at source ↗
Andrew Buller-Russ
“Michael Penix’s Three-INT Game Fuels Packers Past Falcons”
GB ML 72¢Read at source ↗
Colin Cowherd· punditPodcast
“Packers are not losing this game. Okay, you can take that. Take that to the bank.”
GB ML 72¢The Herd · 26:31 ▶
Matt Johnson
“Bijan Robinson will do his best to keep Atlanta in this one, but third-down woes result in more field goals than red-zone trips and that makes a difference in Green Bay’s 28-20 win in their home opener on Thursday Night Football.”
GB ML 75¢Read at source ↗
Matt Johnson
“Green Bay needed that comeback win against the Jets, and it should beat the Falcons on Thursday Night Football in Week 3.”
GB ML 75¢Read at source ↗
Analysts
3 of 4
3 of 4 analysts on ATL +5.5.
Garrett Kerman
“Green Bay wins a game that finishes closer to 24-17 than a blowout, covering the spread comfortably while the under hits, rewarding bettors who trust that this Thursday night clash will be decided by execution in the trenches rather than a shootout through the air.”
GB SPREAD +20.5Read at source ↗
Simon Hunter· punditPodcast
“So I'll take a little on the Falcons, but I'm not going to put a lot of money into it yet.”
ATL SPREAD +6.5Sharp or Square · 9:13 ▶
Jason Logan· betting analyst
“Kalshi has half-point increments, which has me leaning to Atlanta Falcons +7.5 for an added cost.”
ATL SPREAD +7.5Read at source ↗
A system or trend from a named source, with its record, favoring a side.
Analysts
Named analysts across the web, extracted verbatim. Fires when they agree.